A concept · How Scale Behaves · Economics

Jevons Paradox

Greater efficiency can increase total consumption, not cut it.

The new car does twice the miles on a tank, so we drive to places we used to skip. The LED bulbs cost nothing to run, so the garden lights stay on all night. The tool that halved the time to write a report means there are now three times as many reports. Each saving was real, and each one got spent. If efficiency was supposed to mean less, why do we keep ending up with more?

What Jevons Paradox means

The Jevons paradox is the observation that making a resource cheaper to use, by using it more efficiently, tends to increase how much of it we use in total, because the saving makes new uses worth having. That is the definition. Owning it changes what we expect from an improvement. We stop assuming a saving will show up as a saving, and start asking where it will be spent instead. We stop reading the rebound as greed, because it runs on ordinary people responding to a lower price. Before, we would promise the board that the faster process would cut the hours. After, we ask whether it will fill the hours with more, and whether that is what we wanted.

Not to be confused with

Jevons paradox is the extreme case of the rebound effect, not a synonym for it. A rebound means some of the saving is eaten by extra use. Jevons is the case where all of it is, and more, so total use rises.

Jevons Paradox examples: where it shows up

  • At work: the tool that made each task quick made the queue of tasks endless, and the team is busier than before.
  • With money: the cheaper flights did not save us money on flights; they bought us more flying.
  • In the news: cars that sip petrol were supposed to cut the country's fuel bill, and the country drove more.

Where it sits

Open to walk. See where Jevons Paradox sits on the sky →

Nearest on the sky

A filled dot marks a star that is already open to walk.

Knowing it isn't owning it.
Connect Jevons Paradox to your mental models and apply it to your world today.

Begin Jevons Paradox now →

The first one is on us. No signup, no card.