A star not yet lit · Biases

Base-Rate Neglect

Vivid detail makes us forget how rare a thing is.

Vivid detail makes us forget how rare a thing is. That is the claim, and it is the kind that looks obvious until we try to say where it stops. Where does it hold, where does it fail, and what changes once we can see it at work? That is a conversation, not a paragraph.

What this star will be, on the blog →

Base-Rate Neglect is a star on the Constellate sky: placed by meaning, named, and connected to the stars around it. See where it sits →

On the sky

Nearest on the sky

A filled dot marks a star that is already open to walk.

Every star is lit by demand. Ask for Base-Rate Neglect and it moves up the list.

Find it on the sky and ask →

Meanwhile, the first concept of every course is free. No signup, no card.

Nearest star open to walk right now: The Availability Heuristic. One guided conversation, free to start.

Walk The Availability Heuristic now →

Or explore the whole sky. No signup, no card.